Tag Archives: uncertainty

Charlie Munger’s Framework for Staying Calm During Uncertainty: Get to Truth Quickly

Charlie Munger’s resilience was not built on optimism, confidence, or emotional detachment. It was built on a set of mental operating principles that allowed him to remain rational when outcomes were uncertain. By accepting reality, avoiding predictable mistakes, focusing on controllable factors, and applying multiple mental models, Munger developed a framework for thinking clearly under pressure. These principles extend far beyond investing and offer practical lessons for leadership, engineering, business, relationships, and any situation where important decisions must be made without complete information.

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WTF is the Fellegi–Sunter Model? A Practical Guide to Record Matching in an Uncertain World

The Fellegi–Sunter model is the foundational probabilistic framework for record linkage… deciding whether two imperfect records refer to the same real-world entity. Rather than enforcing brittle matching rules, it treats linkage as a problem of weighing evidence under uncertainty. By modelling how fields behave for true matches versus non-matches, it produces interpretable scores and explicit decision thresholds. Despite decades of new tooling and machine learning, most modern matching systems still rest on this logic… often without acknowledging it.

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Navigating the Twentysomething Years: Insights from Meg Jay and Rosie Gilderthorp

Discover why your twenties are a defining decade and how to navigate its challenges with insights from Dr Meg Jay and Rosie Gilderthorp. From embracing uncertainty to balancing mental health in a social media age, this article offers actionable advice for young adults and therapists alike. Dr Meg Jay and Rosie Gilderthorp’s conversation offers a compelling roadmap for navigating the complexities of the twenties, emphasizing the importance of growth, resilience, and intentionality during this pivotal decade.

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